{"id":2567,"date":"2009-06-13T22:32:10","date_gmt":"2009-06-13T20:32:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/?p=2567"},"modified":"2009-06-13T22:32:10","modified_gmt":"2009-06-13T20:32:10","slug":"klare-beweise-fur-wahlbetrug-in-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/2009\/06\/13\/klare-beweise-fur-wahlbetrug-in-iran_2567","title":{"rendered":"Klare Beweise f\u00fcr Wahlbetrug in Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/files\/2009\/06\/bild-31.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2568\" title=\"bild-31\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/files\/2009\/06\/bild-31.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"544\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/files\/2009\/06\/bild-31.png 522w, https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/files\/2009\/06\/bild-31-248x300.png 248w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Und \u00a0dies ist die Conclusio der unabh\u00e4ngigen Website <a href=\"http:\/\/tehranbureau.com\/2009\/06\/13\/faulty-election-data\/\">Tehranbureau:<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span><strong><em>[TEHRAN BUREAU]\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/span><em>Iran\u2019s Interior Ministry has declared President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad the winner of yesterday\u2019s election. This has been rejected by all the three opponents of Mr. Ahmadinejad, Messrs Mir Hossein Mousavi, Mahdi Karroubi, and Mohsen Rezaaee.<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The best evidence for the validity of the arguments of the three opponents of the President for rejecting the results declared by the Interior Ministry is the data the Ministry itself has issued. In the chart, compiled based on the data released by the Ministry and announced by Iran\u2019s national television, a perfect linear relation between the votes received by the President and Mir Hossein Mousavi has been maintained, and the President\u2019s vote is always half of the President\u2019s. The vertical axis (y) shows Mr. Mousavi\u2019s votes, and the horizontal (x) the President\u2019s. R^2 shows the correlation coefficient: the closer it is to 1.0, the more perfect is the fit, and it is 0.9995, as close to 1.0 as possible for any type of data.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Statistically and mathematically, it is impossible to maintain such perfect linear relations between the votes of any two candidates in any election \u2014 and at all stages of vote counting. This is particularly true about Iran, a large country with a variety of ethnic groups who usually vote for a candidate who is ethnically one of their own. For example, in the present elections, Mr. Mousavi is an Azeri and speaks Turkish. The Azeries make up 1\/4 of all the eligible voters in Iran and in his trips to Azerbaijan province, where most of the Azeri population lives, Mr. Mousavi had been greeted by huge rallies in support of his campaign. Likewise, Mr. Karroubi, the other reformist candidate, is a Lor. But according to the data released by Iran\u2019s Interior Ministry, in both cases, Mr. Ahmadinejad has far outdone both candidates in their own provinces of birth and among their own ethnic populations.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Noch mehr Indizien bei <a href=\"http:\/\/www.salon.com\/opinion\/feature\/2009\/06\/13\/iran\/\">Juan Cole<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Und \u00a0dies ist die Conclusio der unabh\u00e4ngigen Website Tehranbureau: [TEHRAN BUREAU]\u00a0Iran\u2019s Interior Ministry has declared President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad the winner of yesterday\u2019s election. This has been rejected by all the three opponents of Mr. Ahmadinejad, Messrs Mir Hossein Mousavi, Mahdi Karroubi, and Mohsen Rezaaee. The best evidence for the validity of the arguments of the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[166,170],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2567","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-iran","category-menschenrechte"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Klare Beweise f\u00fcr Wahlbetrug in Iran - J\u00f6rg Lau<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/2009\/06\/13\/klare-beweise-fur-wahlbetrug-in-iran_2567\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Klare Beweise f\u00fcr Wahlbetrug in Iran - J\u00f6rg Lau\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Und \u00a0dies ist die Conclusio der unabh\u00e4ngigen Website Tehranbureau: [TEHRAN BUREAU]\u00a0Iran\u2019s Interior Ministry has declared President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad the winner of yesterday\u2019s election. 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