{"id":2729,"date":"2009-07-04T11:00:36","date_gmt":"2009-07-04T09:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/?p=2729"},"modified":"2009-07-04T11:00:36","modified_gmt":"2009-07-04T09:00:36","slug":"zakaria-wie-weiter-mit-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/2009\/07\/04\/zakaria-wie-weiter-mit-iran_2729","title":{"rendered":"Zakaria: Wie weiter mit Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"

Zum Gl\u00fcck gibt es nicht nur Stimmen wie John Bolton in der amerikanischen Debatte \u00fcber unser weiteres Vorgehen gegen\u00fcber dem Iran – sondern auch noch Commonsense, wie abermals Fareed Zakaria demonstriert<\/a>. Er antwortet implizit auf Boltons Forderung<\/a>, Iran jetzt zu bombardieren:<\/p>\n

CNN: <\/strong>What is the likely outcome of events in Iran?<\/p>\n

Fareed Zakaria:<\/strong> The situation is fluid. The challenger, Mir Hossein Moussavi, and the former president, Khatami<\/a>, are still criticizing the government for stealing the election.<\/p>\n

That is an extraordinary level of dissent at the highest levels of the establishment. But the most likely outcome remains that for now, the regime will be able to reassert order.<\/p>\n

But it has become a naked dictatorship, losing the facade of the Islamic and democratic political ideals that are important to it.<\/p>\n

CNN: <\/strong>But the nuclear program continues?<\/p>\n

Zakaria:<\/strong> Exactly. We still have a problem with Iran, and we have to have a strategy in dealing with it. The nuclear program continues to grow, and refusing to negotiate will not do anything to stop it.<\/p>\n

On the other hand, it seems wrong to pretend that nothing has happened in Iran. And it also disregards the reality of a divided leadership.<\/p>\n

CNN<\/strong>: So, what to do?<\/p>\n

Zakaria:<\/strong> I would say do nothing. Inaction can be a strategy. The five major powers on the U.N. Security Council<\/a> (plus Germany) have given Iran a very generous offer to restart the nuclear negotiations. It has not responded. So, the ball is in its court.<\/p>\n

Until it does, the West should build support for tougher sanctions and more isolation. Until we hear from Tehran, there is no reason for the United States or the others to get engaged.<\/p>\n

CNN:<\/strong> Is this from a position of weakness, because the West has so few options?<\/p>\n

Zakaria:<\/strong> Not really, because while it might seem like the West has few options, in reality, Iran has fewer. Its economy is doing badly, the regime is facing its greatest challenge since its founding, and its proxies in Lebanon, Iraq and elsewhere are all faring worse than it had expected. Let the supreme leader and President Ahmadinejad figure out what they should do first. Time might not be on their side.<\/p>\n

CNN: <\/strong>What about a military strike?<\/p>\n

Zakaria:<\/strong> It would be bizarre to bomb Iran– which means bombing Iranians — now that we have seen the inside of that country. Moussavi and his supporters want a less confrontational approach to the world. So do many members of the establishment.<\/p>\n

Moussavi attacked Ahmadinejad repeatedly for his aggressive foreign policy. So we now know the answer to the question, „Are there moderates in Iran?“ Yes, millions of them.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zum Gl\u00fcck gibt es nicht nur Stimmen wie John Bolton in der amerikanischen Debatte \u00fcber unser weiteres Vorgehen gegen\u00fcber dem Iran – sondern auch noch Commonsense, wie abermals Fareed Zakaria demonstriert. Er antwortet implizit auf Boltons Forderung, Iran jetzt zu bombardieren: CNN: What is the likely outcome of events in Iran? Fareed Zakaria: The situation […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[152,166],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aussenpolitik","category-iran"],"yoast_head":"\nZakaria: Wie weiter mit Iran - J\u00f6rg Lau<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/2009\/07\/04\/zakaria-wie-weiter-mit-iran_2729\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Zakaria: Wie weiter mit Iran - J\u00f6rg Lau\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Zum Gl\u00fcck gibt es nicht nur Stimmen wie John Bolton in der amerikanischen Debatte \u00fcber unser weiteres Vorgehen gegen\u00fcber dem Iran – sondern auch noch Commonsense, wie abermals Fareed Zakaria demonstriert. 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