{"id":3432,"date":"2010-02-16T12:35:34","date_gmt":"2010-02-16T11:35:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/?p=3432"},"modified":"2010-02-16T16:34:17","modified_gmt":"2010-02-16T15:34:17","slug":"taliban-nr-2-gefasst","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/2010\/02\/16\/taliban-nr-2-gefasst_3432","title":{"rendered":"Taliban: Nr.2 gefasst?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Das waren noch Zeiten: Congressman Charlie Wilson in AFG<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

In \u00fcbereinstimmenden Nachrichten der New York Times<\/a> und der BBC<\/a> ist die Rede davon, dass Mullah Baradar, der milit\u00e4rische Chef der Taliban, bereits vor einer Woche von amerikanischen Truppen und von mit ihnen kooperierenden Pakistanern (!) gefasst worden sein soll.<\/p>\n

Die Times schreibt:<\/p>\n

Details of the raid remain murky, but officials said that it had been carried out by Pakistan\u2019s military spy agency, the Directorate for Inter-Services Intelligence, or ISI, and that C.I.A. operatives had accompanied the Pakistanis<\/em>.<\/p>\n

In anderen Worten: Das ISI und die CIA versuchen den Geist wieder in die Flasche zu stopfen, den sie einst herausgelassen hatten. Sehr gute Nachrichten, vor allem wegen des pakistanischen Umdenkens, das sich hier zeigt. Anders gesagt: „Charlie Wilson’s War“<\/a> wird zuende gef\u00fchrt.<\/p>\n

Baradar ist die Nummer 2 hinter dem Talibachef Mullah Omar, und seine Bedeutung f\u00fcr die milit\u00e4rische Strategie der Taliban im afghanischen S\u00fcden wird sogar noch h\u00f6her eingesch\u00e4tzt als die des Anf\u00fchrers.<\/p>\n

Sollte sich diese Nachricht best\u00e4tigen, w\u00e4re dies ein Grund zur Hoffnung. Und es w\u00fcrde auch erkl\u00e4ren, warum die Gro\u00dfoffensive\u00a0 in Helmand just in diesen Tagen stattfindet.<\/p>\n

Ein ausf\u00fchrliches Portr\u00e4t findet sich hier<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Paragh Kanna warnt<\/a> aber davor, in den m\u00f6glichen (noch unbest\u00e4tigten) milit\u00e4rischen Erfolgen bereits die Wende sehen zu wollen, die einen politischen Prozess (und das heisst:\u00a0 Verhandlungen mit den Clanf\u00fchrern) \u00fcberf\u00fcssig machen w\u00fcrde:<\/p>\n

The olden system of influential tribal elders, though battered in the Pashtun areas, has withstood the Taliban\u2019s violent campaign to destroy and replace it with militant Islamic rule. No matter how tumultuous and intermittently brutal the situation, kinship networks and their leaders retain persuasive influence. <\/em><\/p>\n

Regrettably, most officials and analysts fail to grasp that the Pashtun region is a potentially fruitful theater for dialogue and engagement. Its tribes have not only been fierce fighters for centuries, but also expert negotiators; they violently punish those who break promises, but honor agreements and loyalty as well. If the Obama strategy emphasizes \u201cpeople-to-people ties,\u201d these are the people who are crucial to enlist in both the short and long term. The tribal order can\u2019t be defeated by fighting against it, but it can be gradually and incrementally modernized through thoughtful engagement. Many tribal leaders have appealed responsibly for just such an approach, including influential opinion-shapers in isolated North Waziristan. To turn away from this opportunity would be tragic.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Das waren noch Zeiten: Congressman Charlie Wilson in AFG In \u00fcbereinstimmenden Nachrichten der New York Times und der BBC ist die Rede davon, dass Mullah Baradar, der milit\u00e4rische Chef der Taliban, bereits vor einer Woche von amerikanischen Truppen und von mit ihnen kooperierenden Pakistanern (!) gefasst worden sein soll. Die Times schreibt: Details of the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[151,152,172],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-afghanistan","category-aussenpolitik","category-pakistan"],"yoast_head":"\nTaliban: Nr.2 gefasst? - J\u00f6rg Lau<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/2010\/02\/16\/taliban-nr-2-gefasst_3432\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Taliban: Nr.2 gefasst? - J\u00f6rg Lau\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Das waren noch Zeiten: Congressman Charlie Wilson in AFG In \u00fcbereinstimmenden Nachrichten der New York Times und der BBC ist die Rede davon, dass Mullah Baradar, der milit\u00e4rische Chef der Taliban, bereits vor einer Woche von amerikanischen Truppen und von mit ihnen kooperierenden Pakistanern (!) gefasst worden sein soll. 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