{"id":4746,"date":"2011-03-25T11:59:00","date_gmt":"2011-03-25T10:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/?p=4746"},"modified":"2011-03-25T12:11:27","modified_gmt":"2011-03-25T11:11:27","slug":"die-neue-starke-der-muslimbruder","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/2011\/03\/25\/die-neue-starke-der-muslimbruder_4746","title":{"rendered":"Die neue St\u00e4rke der Muslimbr\u00fcder"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Wie weiter mit den Muslimbr\u00fcdern? Die Frage stellt sich heute anders und\u00a0 dringender als noch vor Monaten. Nach einem <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2011\/03\/25\/world\/middleeast\/25egypt.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss&amp;pagewanted=all\">Bericht der NYTimes<\/a> gibt es Anzeichen f\u00fcr einen Deal der alten Regierungspartei NDP und des Milit\u00e4rs mit den MB in \u00c4gypten. Bei dem erfolgreichen Referendum vor einigen Tagen konnte man diesen Deal in Kraft sehen. Statt einer grundlegenden Verfassungsreform haben die Menschen in \u00c4gypten f\u00fcr eine Reparatur einiger Artikel gestimmt, die eine schnelle Parlamentswahl erm\u00f6glichen soll.<\/p>\n<p>Alle diese Kr\u00e4fte haben ein Interesse an einem schnellen \u00dcbergang zu Wahlen. Das Milit\u00e4r will raus aus der Verantwortung f\u00fcr das Land, ohne seine Pfr\u00fcnde zu verlieren. Die Mubarak-Leute wollen weiter in Verantwortung bleiben und ebenfalls ihre Pfr\u00fcnde retten. Und sie wollen die Demokratiebewegung in Schach halten. Die MB will die Weichen f\u00fcr einen Staat nach ihrem Geschmack stellen, und will ebenfalls die s\u00e4kularen Kr\u00e4fte der Demokratiebewegung auf die hinteren Pl\u00e4tze verweisen. Sehr irritierend ist die teilweise demagogische religi\u00f6se Propaganda f\u00fcr das Referendum, von der Michael Slackmann aus \u00c4gypten berichtet:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The amendments essentially call for speeding up the election process  so that parliamentary contests can be held before September, followed  soon after by a presidential race. That expedited calendar is seen as  giving an advantage to the Brotherhood and to the remnants of Mr.  Mubarak\u2019s National Democratic Party, which have established national  networks. The next Parliament will oversee drafting a new constitution.Before the vote, Essam el-Erian, a Brotherhood leader and spokesman, appeared on a popular television show,  \u201cThe Reality,\u201d arguing for the government\u2019s position in favor of the  proposal. With a record turnout, the vote was hailed as a success. But  the \u201cyes\u201d campaign was based largely on a religious appeal: voters were  warned that if they did not approve the amendments, Egypt would become a  secular state.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe problem is that our country will be without a religion,\u201d read a  flier distributed in Cairo by a group calling itself the Egyptian  Revolution Society. \u201cThis means that the call to the prayer will not be  heard anymore like in the case of Switzerland, women will be banned from  wearing the hijab like in the case of France,\u201d it said, referring to the Muslim head  scarf. \u201cAnd there will be laws that allow men to get married to men and  women to get married to women like in the case of America.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A banner hung by the Muslim Brotherhood in a square in Alexandria  instructed voters that it was their \u201creligious duty\u201d to vote \u201cyes\u201d on  the amendments.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Die S\u00e4kularen sind noch sehr schwach organisiert. Sie k\u00f6nnen nur gro\u00dfe Demos veranstalten, haben aber keine Organisation und vielleicht auch keinen ausreichenden Konsens f\u00fcr ein regelrechtes Parteiprogramm (oder gleich mehrere davon).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sandmonkey.org\/\">Sandmonkey<\/a>, den ich auf Twitter angefleht hatte, endlich wieder regelrecht zu bloggen, hat dies dankenswerter Weise getan. Hat sicher nicht allein mit meinem Flehen\u00a0 zu tun: Die Selbstverst\u00e4ndigung der jungen Revolution\u00e4re \u00fcber die Zeit nach der Revolution l\u00e4sst sehr zu w\u00fcnschen \u00fcbrig. Sandmonkey macht wichtige Vorschl\u00e4ge, wie die Bewegung sich in eine ernstzunehmende politische Kraft verwandeln kann.<\/p>\n<p>Darunter dieser, nur scheinbar widerspr\u00fcchliche:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I once suggested that we need to reach to Imams and Priests in order to  get them on our side, and I was hissed at for wanting to mix Politics  with Religion. Well, as much as I agree with that sentiment and truly  wish we live in a country where people don\u2019t vote based on religion,  ehh..welcome to Egypt. We are religious people, and whether we like it  or not, Imams and Priests are community leaders. We have to engage them,  get them on our side and have them help us with the hearts and minds of  their flock. An easy place to start are the individual churches and the  Sufi festivals (Fun Fact of the Day: the Sufis are 16 million in Egypt.  I KNOW!), get those two groups, and then focus on all the local imams  that are in your area. If you manage to convince 1 Imam in every 5, you  already caused them to lose a sizable part of their base.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Das ist richtig. In einem religi\u00f6sen Land wie \u00c4gypten darf die Moschee nicht der MB \u00fcberlassen bleiben.<\/p>\n<p>Aber wie soll der Westen nun mit der MB weiter vorgehen? Zur\u00fcckhaltung oder Austausch? Ich habe in den letzten Tagen sehr unterschiedliche Signale von zwei Experten bekommen, die ich beide sch\u00e4tze und die ich beide nicht f\u00fcr verblendet oder ideologisch halte.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ian-johnson.com\/\">Ian Johnson<\/a>, dessen Buch &#8222;Die Vierte Moschee&#8220; ich in Leipzig vorgestellt habe, ist sehr skeptisch. Er r\u00e4t ab, die MB durch offizielle Kontakte aufzuwerten. Er h\u00e4lt es f\u00fcr falsch zu glauben, man k\u00f6nne die MB politisch beeinflussen und gar f\u00fcr die Zwecke einer Politik im Dienste der Werte einer pluralistischen, s\u00e4kularen Gesellschaft einspannen. In seiner Sicht ist die religi\u00f6se Agenda am Ende immer der Trumpf, der alles sticht. Und er hat <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nybooks.com\/blogs\/nyrblog\/2011\/feb\/05\/washingtons-secret-history-muslim-brotherhood\/\">gute Beispiele<\/a> in seinem Buch.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/files\/2011\/03\/eisenhower_jpg_470x440_q85.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4750\" title=\"eisenhower_jpg_470x440_q85\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/files\/2011\/03\/eisenhower_jpg_470x440_q85.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"470\" height=\"328\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/files\/2011\/03\/eisenhower_jpg_470x440_q85.jpg 470w, https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/files\/2011\/03\/eisenhower_jpg_470x440_q85-300x209.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 470px) 100vw, 470px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Die MB zu Gast bei Pr\u00e4sident Eisenhower, 1953. Rechts au\u00dfen mit Bart: Said Ramadan. Foto: Ian Johnson<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.paragkhanna.com\/\">Parag Khanna<\/a>, den ich heute in der amerikanischen Botschaft zu einem Gespr\u00e4ch treffen konnte, h\u00e4lt die diplomatische Zur\u00fcckhaltung gegen\u00fcber der MB f\u00fcr v\u00f6llig falsch und f\u00fcr eine westliche Selbst\u00fcbersch\u00e4tzung. Gruppen, die man &#8222;isoliert&#8220;, werden dadurch nicht notwendiger Weise geschw\u00e4cht. Und der Westen m\u00fcsse sich schlichtweg fragen, ob man eines Tages einer neuen \u00e4gyptischen Elite gegen\u00fcber treten m\u00f6chte, die man schlicht nicht kennt.<\/p>\n<p>Und dann ist da noch die <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/opinions\/us_must_take_sides_to_keep_the_arab_spring_from_islamist_takeover\/2011\/03\/23\/ABNhI2KB_story.html?wprss=rss_homepage\">dritte Position <\/a>von dem klugen <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cfr.org\/experts\/iran-democracy-and-human-rights-iraq\/ray-takeyh\/b9599\">Ray Takeyh<\/a>, der einige der besten B\u00fccher \u00fcber Iran geschrieben hat. Er meint, Amerika und der Westen m\u00fcssten sich eindeutig zugunsten der S\u00e4kularen positionieren:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Islamist parties can be counted on to similarly menace an  inexperienced democratic order. Their deputies are extremely likely to  press discriminatory legislation; their religious leaders will stimulate  passions against women\u2019s rights groups and nongovernmental  organizations; and their militias will threaten secular politicians and  civil society leaders who do not conform to their template. Such  agitations may not garner absolute power but could still provide an  opportunity for national militaries to end the region\u2019s democratic  interlude in the name of stability and order.<\/p>\n<p>The answer, then,  is not to exclude Islamist parties from political participation. A  genuine democratic system will have to include all contending voices,  however ill-intentioned and radical they may be. Washington\u2019s challenge  is to make certain that the region\u2019s political transition does not  culminate in the assumption of power by another military clique. So the  United States and its allies must strengthen the political center and  the democratic regimes that are coming to power in the midst of economic  crisis and without the benefits of mature institutions.<\/p>\n<p>A  massive package of economic assistance to countries such as Egypt and  Tunisia would  tether these nations to the United States and would allow  Washington to be clear that extremism in any guise will cause cessation  of support. Even in an age of budgetary constraints, Washington may be  able to generate substantial sums by channeling military aid to civilian  pursuits and by collaborating with the European Union, the World Bank  and the International Monetary Fund. The United States may not be able  to determine the outcome of the Mideast uprisings, but it can still  impose conditions and offer incentives that diminish the appeal and  potency of militant actors.<\/p>\n<p>Beyond such measures, Washington has  the moral obligation of political partiality. During the Cold War, it  did not remain passive as the forces of democracy battled the communist  parties that sought to exploit post-World War II dislocation to advance  sinister designs. The United States actively and at times covertly aided  noncommunist forces throughout Europe, ensuring the defeat of powerful  communist parties in France and Italy. In the context of the Middle East  today, this means standing with emerging secular parties and youth  activists as they seek to reinvent the region\u2019s politics and finally  push the Middle East into the 21st century.<\/p>\n<p>The notion that  America\u2019s interventions in the Arab world have made it a toxic agent  that should stand aside is a presumption of the Western intelligentsia \u2014  and one rejected by Arab protesters, the majority of whom have not  uttered anti-American slogans. The springtime of the Arab world offers  the United States an opportunity to reclaim its values and redeem its  interests. America has a stake in the future of the Middle East and  should not shy away from cultivating the nascent democratic movements  sweeping the region.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wie weiter mit den Muslimbr\u00fcdern? Die Frage stellt sich heute anders und\u00a0 dringender als noch vor Monaten. Nach einem Bericht der NYTimes gibt es Anzeichen f\u00fcr einen Deal der alten Regierungspartei NDP und des Milit\u00e4rs mit den MB in \u00c4gypten. Bei dem erfolgreichen Referendum vor einigen Tagen konnte man diesen Deal in Kraft sehen. Statt [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":54,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9460,152,157],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-agypten","category-aussenpolitik","category-die-freunde-und-die-feinde-des-islams"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Die neue St\u00e4rke der Muslimbr\u00fcder - J\u00f6rg Lau<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.zeit.de\/joerglau\/2011\/03\/25\/die-neue-starke-der-muslimbruder_4746\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Die neue St\u00e4rke der Muslimbr\u00fcder - J\u00f6rg Lau\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Wie weiter mit den Muslimbr\u00fcdern? Die Frage stellt sich heute anders und\u00a0 dringender als noch vor Monaten. Nach einem Bericht der NYTimes gibt es Anzeichen f\u00fcr einen Deal der alten Regierungspartei NDP und des Milit\u00e4rs mit den MB in \u00c4gypten. Bei dem erfolgreichen Referendum vor einigen Tagen konnte man diesen Deal in Kraft sehen. 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