Shaul Arieli ist ehemaliger israelischer Brigade-Kommandeur für den Gaza-Streifen und hat als ehemaliger Chef der israelischen regierungsamtlichen Peace Administration an zahlreichen Friedensverhandlungen zwischen Israelis und Palästinensern teilgenommen. Er gilt als einer der führenden Experten zu Fragen einer möglichen zukünftigen Grenzregelung zwischen beiden Seiten.
Arieli hat sich die Zahlen zum Siedlungsbau in den besetzten Gebieten der Westbank vorgenommen und sie daraufhin untersucht, ob es sich bei dem Wachstum der Siedlungen um „natürliches Wachstum“ handeln kann, wie die israelische Regierung behauptet.
Das Ergebnis ist eindeutig: Nein. Es handelt sich um gezielte Einwanderungspolitik. Die folgende Tabelle entnehme ich der Website von Shaul Arieli.
Natural growth or growth by immigration?!
|
Government |
Years |
Settlements in the West Bank and Gaza |
Israelis in the West Bank and Gaza |
Neighborhoods in east Jerusalem |
Israelis in east Jerusalem |
Total |
Cumulative total |
|
Labor |
67-77 |
32 |
6,000 |
11 |
32,000 |
38,000 |
38,000 |
|
Likud |
77-81 |
47 |
11,000 |
|
26,000 |
37,000 |
75,000 |
|
Likud |
81-84 |
37 |
29,000 |
|
20,000 |
49,000 |
124,000 |
|
Unity |
84-90 |
26 |
46,000 |
1 |
32,000 |
78,000 |
202,000 |
|
Likud |
90-92 |
2 |
15,000 |
|
5,000 |
20,000 |
222,000 |
|
Labor Likud |
92-2001 |
4 |
93,000 |
2 |
52,000 |
145,000 |
367,000 |
|
Likud Kadima |
2001-2009 |
100 Outposts |
95,000 |
|
27,000 |
122,000 |
489,000 |
|
Total |
|
127 |
295,000 |
14 |
194,000 |
489,000 |
|
So fasst Arieli seine Ergebnisse zusammen:
1. All Israeli governments established settlements in West Bank areas.
2. During the first 15 years, the Israeli government prioritized populating east Jerusalem with Jews.
3. Since 2001, unauthorized outposts have replaced the establishment of new settlements.
4. A third of the Israelis living in the West Bank and Gaza Strip moved there prior to signing the Oslo Accords (25 years), another third during the Oslo Accords period (8 years), and another third after it was frozen (8 years)!!!
5. 55% of the Israelis living in east Jerusalem moved there before signing the Oslo Accords and the rest during the Oslo Accords period or after it was frozen!!!
6. Natural growth for Jewish population is 1.6%.
7. The size of an average family in Israel is 3.1 persons.
In anderen Worten: In acht Jahren nach den Oslo-Verträgen wanderten genausoviele Menschen in die Westbank ein wie in den 25 Jahren zuvor. Und nach der Aussetzung des Oslo-Prozesses abermals so viele. In Oslo sollte die palästinensische Selbstverwaltung vorbereitet werden. Während also offiziell die Selbstverwaltung der Palästinenser ausgehandelt wurde, wurden auf dem Boden Fakten geschaffen, um sie zu torpedieren und die Landnahme in der Westbank voranzutreiben.
Akiva Eldar kommentiert die Zahlen Arielis in Ha’aretz:
The myth of „natural population growth“ doesn’t impress Col. (res.) Shaul Arieli, nor do the stories about little children from good Jewish homes who are left without a kindergarten. Arieli, who in the late 1990s served as deputy military secretary to former prime minister and incumbent Defense Minister Ehud Barak, did the calculations and found that one third of Israelis living in the territories (not including East Jerusalem) settled there during the Oslo years and another third after the peace process was suspended.
Expressed in numbers: From 1992-2001, the number of Jewish settlers increased by approximately 93,000 and four settlements were added; in the period from 2001-2009, another 95,000 settlers were added to the population and 100 additional outposts established.
As for East Jerusalem, 45 percent of Israelis living in East Jerusalem moved there after the Oslo agreement.
And now for the total: While 32 settlements (not including East Jerusalem) were established in the territories between 1967 and 1977, housing some 6,000 settlers, today 127 Jewish settlements can be found in the territories, alongside another 100 outposts, housing a total of 295,000 settlers.
It doesn’t take a demographer to deduce from Arieli’s figures that „natural population growth“ – even at a record 3.4 percent per annum (which is twice the national average among Jews) – cannot explain a 100 percent growth to the settlers‘ population in 2001-2009.